GOP Miscalculation
Immigration Promises Not Moving Latino Voters

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WASHINGTON (October 2004) — A new report from the Center for Immigration Studies casts considerable doubt on the Bush Administration’s assumption that immigration policy is an effective tool in wooing the Latino electorate. In “Losing Ground or Staying Even? Republicans and the Politics of the Latino Vote,” University of Maryland Professor of Government James Gimpel uses a variety of national and state polls to show that Hispanic political allegiance to the Democratic Party has remained consistent over the years, and that any increase in the proportion of Latinos voting Republican is principally a consequence of low turnout among Latino Democrats.

The Center will release Dr. Gimpel’s report and host a panel discussion on the issue on Thursday, October 14, at 10 a.m., in the Murrow Room of the National Press Club, at 14th & F streets, N.W. The speakers will be:

  • James G. Gimpel, Professor of Government at the University of Maryland, College Park, and author of “Losing Ground or Staying Even? Republicans and the Politics of the Latino Vote.” His most recent book is Patchwork Nation: Sectionalism and Political Change in American Politics.
     

  • William Frey, Visiting Scholar at the Brookings Institution, Research Professor at the University of Michigan’s Population Studies Center, and author of “Battling Battlegrounds” in the September issue of American Demographics.
     

  • Steven Camarota, Director of Research, Center for Immigration Studies.

The panel discussion is free and open to the public. For more information, contact John Keeley of the Center for Immigration Studies at (202) 466-8185 or jmk@cis.org.

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The Center for Immigration Studies is an independent research institute
which examines the impact of immigration on the United States.